The NFL Draft: Who are the top five prospects? Lock is a tall strong armed athletic quarterback with elusive pace and all the tools a team could desire in a potential franchise quarterback. Outside of Bosa, Allen holds the highest pass-rushing grade of any rookie edge defender at 70.2. Not so fast, writes Cynthia Frelund. Sean McVay supposedly fixed him. Matt Ryan went from 25.3% to 12.4% or from 4th as rookie to 13th as a second year QB (13th is still good - minimum 200 passing attempts). Josh Allen had a DVOA of -11.8% in 2019 - up from his terrible -35.9% as a rookie. That’s the kind of performance the Colts expected when drafting him in the second round, and it’s what they’ll look for next season. Having won just three games in 2018, bookmakers have Arizona at over under 5.5 wins in 2019. Tight-window passes, which rely on a QB's trust with his receiver, were a source of strength for Burrow last year, as he threw 16 TD strikes on such passes with a 47.6 completion percentage at 8.8 yards per attempt (figures that also all topped the FBS, per PFF). Plus, one stat to question and two fantasy sleepers for Week 3. 100 play-action dropbacks, per PFF) and a 74.1 completion percentage. Right now, Burrow is the No. His 70.3 overall grade on the season ranked 20th among 32 qualifying quarterbacks. Of the 10 on the chart, only Robert Griffin failed to have a decent career. McCoy was a victim of the QB-black hole that is the Cleveland Browns. … The Giants caused the biggest stir of the 2019 NFL Draft when they took Duke quarterback Daniel Jones early in the opening round.

As the dust settles following the 2019 NFL draft, it’s time to reflect and take a look forward to the upcoming NFL season.

PFF's exclusive metrics provide matchup previews, position rankings, grades, and snap counts. Analytics guru Cynthia Frelund reveals her projected win total for each NFC team. 2019-20 season rookie stats leaders. JuJu Smith-Schuster, 2017 (2.16) 6. It looks like they found one in Savage. Alex Smith was terrible as rookie.

Marc Bulger went from 34.7% to 1.3% while Ben Roethlisberger got better going from 31.7% to 35.8%. With the Giants taking Daniel Jones sixth overall, the Redskins bided their time ultimately claiming a bargain at pick fifteen with the selection of Ohio State quarterback Dwayne Haskins. 2. Please be respectful when making a comment and adhere to our Community Guidelines. Can all four NFC West teams make the expanded playoff field? There are far more first round QB busts on the bottom of this list than there are first round QB successes. The havoc that he created in opposing backfields all year landed him an 86.7 overall grade that was nearly identical to the 86.6 overall grade posted by his brother, Joey Bosa, back in his rookie season of 2016. A quarter of the way into the 2020 regular season, which division leaders are contenders? Here are 11 things I’m watching for from the Broncos game against the Chiefs. Who could be at risk of losing a starting job? It should be noted that of the QBs who are at the top end of the range for rookie DVOA, those who either improved or only regressed slightly had an offense built around them. Jared Goff was atrocious as a rookie. Matthew Stafford is similar in that he has had a very good career (despite only being selected to the Pro-Bowl once). The Packers have been looking for a playmaker at safety for several years now. Due to the sheer scale of this comment community, we are not able to give each post the same level of attention, but we have preserved this area in the interests of open debate. He could turn things around like Alex Smith did, or he could flame out like Robert Griffin and Josh Freeman did. A 55.0 coverage grade through the first nine weeks of the season set him back, but we saw improvement from the Temple product as the campaign wore on. College: LSU. He wasn’t featured as a receiver for Oakland, taking a clear back seat to Darren Waller, but he was effective in the opportunities that did come his way.

He fit right in on one of the top pass-blocking lines in the NFL, earning the highest grade of any rookie guard in the league this season. Find out who the leaders are in standard scoring formats and see which players are available in your fantasy football league. You’d like to see his involvement in the passing game increase, but all in all, it was an outstanding debut for the rookie out of Alabama. When Allen has gotten to the quarterback, he has made the most of it.

Of course Drew Lock’s 2.2% DVOA was still roughly in the middle of the range (or on the high end of the middle) so it might not be predictive at all for his DVOA in his second season. Most of his time has been spent at slot corner, with 268 snaps, and his play there is the biggest reason for his inclusion on this list. Herbert earned 713 passing yards on screen passes in 2019 (second-most in FBS, per PFF) and 1,212 since 2018 (also second-most), with eight touchdowns on such passes last year (tops in the FBS). Think again! His 63.5 overall grade at left guard ranked 19th among 39 qualifiers at the position.

© 2020 NFL Enterprises LLC. 250+ three-page scouting profiles - advanced stats, 3-year grades, player comps, combine data and Senior Bowl grades - for the 2021 draft class. Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? Cynthia Frelund dives into the numbers from Week 1 to identify one stat to trust and one to question. For context, Andy Dalton had an 82.3 passer rating when he wasn't under pressure in 2019 (the lowest figure in NFL among qualified QBs, according to Next Gen Stats). From Miami's O-line to the team's receiving corps to anticipating how long Ryan Fitzpatrick will be the starter, Tagovailoa's projection contains a ton of variance and currently leaves him ranked as my model's No. Dak Prescott went from 31.6% to -0.2% so how regressed to the mean similar to Bulger. It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. Can Derrick Henry repeat as rushing king?

If it weren’t for Brown’s brilliance after the catch, we would be talking more about just how absurd Samuel’s numbers have been in his rookie season.

Jones or not, the Giants win total over under for the upcoming season is set at 5.5. Savage has been at his best in coverage, where his 74.2 grade ranks 29th among 94 qualifying safeties in 2019. On those passes against the Chiefs this year, opposing quarterbacks combined for a 40.9 passer rating. Fans of the team in Washington should probably worry and Dwayne Haskins though. 1 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. The rookie tight end class wasn’t the deepest group to pull from, but Moreau ended the season as the best of the bunch in PFF overall grade on his 373 offensive snaps. Brown earned PFF Offensive Rookie of the Year honors, making his place on this list a formality.

The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. DeShaun Watson went from 23.1% down to 9.5%, that was a move from 7th in 2017 down to 11th in 2018. Aaron Rodgers is consistently among the quarterbacks with the longest average time to throws, and that makes life difficult on his blockers at times. Can anyone top Patrick Mahomes when it comes to contributing to their team's success?

The Arizona Cardinals picked Kyler Murray first overall to lead their new era before flipping last year's rookie Josh Rosen to the Miami Dolphins, Find your bookmarks in your Independent Premium section, under my profile. Baker Mayfield most likely won’t fizzle out, but you could say that he is still a question mark. That said, he also excelled against man coverage in 2019, completing 62.2 percent of his passes (sixth-best in the FBS, according to PFF) and threw 11 touchdowns against the blitz (the most without an interception among FBS QBs).

That's a lot of encouraging production, especially when considering that Herbert's receivers dropped an exceptional number of passes: 32 in 2019, which was tied for sixth-most in the FBS, per PFF. Create a commenting name to join the debate, There are no Independent Premium comments yet - be the first to add your thoughts, There are no comments yet - be the first to add your thoughts. I would say he had a decent career given the terrible situation he had in Houston. Drew Lock – 42nd Overall Pick, Denver Broncos.
He spent the majority of his time lined up deep at free safety for Kansas City, and when looking at the lack of success opposing teams had targeting the Chiefs 20 or more yards downfield, it’s easy to see his impact. Welcome to For The Win's European Union Experience. After all, the Oregon product also threw the fourth-most deep passing touchdowns since 2018 (25), which bodes well for Keenan Allen and Mike Williams on the perimeter. By choosing I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. Risner’s college career at Kansas State was exquisite.

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