This might be a bit boring for some readers, but Mozersky’s example is as follows, when expressed as a diagnostic test, “Never do statistics without solid, reliable empirical data” actually is completely right if you want to say something sensible about reality (and you know that very well). Seems to me like a harmless and interesting way of looking at the issue. While “radical left” is in the eye of the beholder I followed the link and found it interesting. Take the following assumptions: Once again, I disagree entirely. I hate people who always try and cuddle and touch,' he said, 'Romance is overrated': Daniel wasn't feeling the love on Wednesday night's episode of Zumbo's Just Desserts seduction dessert challenge, admitting he hates public displays of affection, 'You should be able to have your own space,' he said, adding: 'I like to go to the gym, do my own thing.'. All I saw was K pounding the table followed by an inconvenient question at which point the person asking the questions disappeared and Graham was pounding the table. all. Everyone stands to gain by mastering as much probability and inductive logic as possible (paraphrasing Ludwig Boltzmann: probability is the logic of nature), so I applaud your attempt to apply these principles to political and other domains. If one picks up Manne's book expecting an encyclopaedic treatment of what past philosophers have said about misogyny or its related aspects through the years, one may be disappointed. I don’t see an argument for it *as the essay is written* that is valid. Famed pastry chef Adriano Zumbo awarded the bubbly the blonde with top marks. If one multiplies these odds (1:49 against) by 5.4, one does get 9.9%. Unfair to Manne. However, to believe this we would need to see empirical evidence that it is true, and Manne provides none.
Quite intelligent and philosophically trained persons in Terf/Tran disputes take the same confabulatory route. then posterior odds are 5.4:1 = 84% chance of guilt, If prior odds for person X being a major criminal being 90:10, as per the reference, Nah, anyone can accuse anyone of anything. That’s why “say so’s” are interrogated in courts.
With that quote “statistics is NOT logic” I obviously pointed out that probabilities are not certainties. No, I’m not frustrated at all. It is dispiriting to see people accept a line of reasoning when it amounts to an accusation against someone they dislike, then discount the same reasoning when applied to someone they approve of. No need for a discussion about the foundations of probability. A philosopher who claims to know which sense is responsible for which actions in an individual is engaged in a priori psychology. Manne offers an account of misogyny based on its social function rather than its psychological nature, "as primarily a property of social environments in which women are liable to encounter hostility due to the enforcement and policing of patriarchal norms and expectations." However I think Manne is allowed to make this move, arguing just that she thinks the LR+ > 1.
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